Talking Points1. The Bush Administration has
dangerously lowered the threshold regarding the use of nuclear weapons
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The Nuclear Posture Review articulates plans "to build smaller
nuclear weapons for use in certain battlefield situations."
The Los Alamos and Lawrence Livermore nuclear weapons labs are working
to develop new "More usable" nuclear bombs as well as
new "burrowing" warheads for use in a first strike against
an underground bunker. The administration has signaled its intent
to resume nuclear weapons testing and dismantle the larger fabric
of nuclear arms control. Building new nuclear weapons will encourage
other nuclear nations such as China to increase their investment
in nuclear arms while simultaneously encouraging other non-nuclear
countries to "go nuclear."
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Announcing to the world that we are targeting other countries for a potential
first strike while at the same time building new capabilities to enable that threat is
certain to provoke an equal and opposite reaction. In the minds of other countries,
the best way to avoid attack by the US is to build their own nuclear weapons.
North Korea, for instance has explicitly stated that their nuclear program is
meant as a deterrent to US attack. With every country that "goes nuclear"
the pace of proliferation increases. As an example, Japan, South Korea and have
the potential to "go nuclear" if North Korea continues its nuclear program.
Similarly, if Taiwan determines that North Korea has deterred an invasion by
developing nuclear weapons, then they may draw the conclusion that the best
way to avoid an invasion by China is to develop their own nuclear arsenal.
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Security experts agree that "loose nukes" and black
market weapons of mass destruction represent the greatest threat to our
security. Since the collapse of the Soviet Union, nuclear weapons facilities
in Russia and former Soviet states have been under-secured. Many of the scientists
that used to work on the Soviet nuclear complex are barely paid or not paid at all.
There have been numerous attempts by terrorist organizations to buy both nuclear bombs
and nuclear materials. It has been reported that as many as 80 "suitcase"
bombs are unaccounted for. Despite this, the US spends a tiny $630 million per year on
programs to secure and destroy these weapons. Invading Iraq, by contrast, is expected to
cost $200 billion. We will spend 400 times more invading Iraq than we will
spend addressing our greatest security threat.
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A surprise attack by another nation, using a ballistic missile is one of the least likely threats we face, if only because the attacking nation would face immediate destruction. On the other hand, missile defense will launch a new arms race.
The Bush administration's commitment to missile defense is inextricably linked to their new nuclear posture. A new offensive nuclear capability, coupled with a new defensive capability would give the US an advantage over other countries, both nuclear states and non-nuclear states. A planning document authored by Administration officials concluded, "Effective ballistic missile defenses will be the central element in the exercise of American power and the projection of US military forces abroad."
In the words of Alexie Pushkov of the Presidential Foreign Policy Council in Moscow, "National missile defense is about American strategic hegemony. Even if I am wrong, this is how it is perceived all over the world."
In a report to the President, the CIA concluded that deployment of missile defense will trigger "an unsettling series of political and military ripple effects that would include a sharp build-up of strategic and medium-range nuclear missiles by China, India and Pakistan and the further spread of military technology in the Middle East."
A group of 50 Nobel Prize-winning scientists concluded that deploying
missile defense will set off a new arms race and "do grave harm" to American security.
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Since 1945, the US has spent more than $5 trillion on nuclear weapons. The current federal budget for building and maintaining nuclear weapons is $35 billion. For all of that, we have not enhanced our security. In the words of Lt. General Lee Butler, the former head of US Nuclear Forces, "There is no security in nuclear weapons. It is a fool's game
The more nuclear weapons there are in existence, the more nuclear material
is created by their production. They can be stolen, misplaced or launched by accident.
Ronald Reagan's former chief arms negotiator Paul Nitze now argues
that the US would be far better off if we pursued major reductions in our nuclear arsenal.
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The nation's largest association of physicists, the non-partisan
American Physical Society, has issued a statement declaring that
missile defense tests have been inadequate. The Federation of American
Scientists and the Union of Concerned Scientists oppose the deployment
of missile defense. The most common scientific critique is that
the technology does not exist for missile defenses to distinguish
between real warheads and cheaply produced decoys. The missile defense
program is under investigation for fraud, both scientific and financial.
Dr. Theodore Postol, a leading expert in missile technology at the
Massachusetts Institute of Technology, called claims that the system
will work "a elaborate hoax."
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New York, New York 10115
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